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An investor paying close attention to the major market indices and individual equities over the last ten trading sessions may have a sense of sea sickness. Or a case of whiplash. Truly, the daily volatility has been extreme. Even 5 minute intervals show big swings. Today was no exception. With President Trump’s increased tariffs on China scheduled to go into effect at midnight last night, big market swings in the futures market and in today’s regular session were anticipated. As expected, the volatility index was soaring. The market open down. I was relieved to see the Nasdaq ‘only’ down 2%. Not long after, my indicators alerted me to internal market strength. Then came the Trump tweet on the tariff pause. The market simply did not stop rising until the closing bell was sounded.
Is the coast clear? Is the bottom of the bear behind us? I don’t think so. Yes, today was a massive move. However, there are still unknowns on the tariff front. How will China respond in the trade war between the two super powers? China retaliated to the 104% Trump tariff. How will they feel about 125%. Was today “just short covering?”. Again, a lot of unknowns. We know we are absolutely on a hyper-sensitive, news driven market; more now than usual. More headlines are likely to follow…
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